What do you think is the best action in this situation?
It looks like we are possibly one move away from a win; if we choose the right one, and get some fair dice. (They don’t even need to be in our favor for several of these choices; just standard percentages will win it.)

Lots of good choices:
1. Assault in the Center vs. H5
2. Armor Assault vs. H5
3. Behind Enemy Lines vs. h4
4. BEL vs. i4, either destroying, or forcing a retreat to gain the second fortress and it’s VP.
WHAT IS YOUR CHOICE?
The second fort that you need for the medal is wide open on b2 and the BEL will get you there without firing a shot.